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I would like to see them add in David Rothschild at Yahoo[1], who's an expert in scoring rules and prediction markets and whose February (!) predictions were almost exactly on the money.

[1] http://news.yahoo.com/blogs/signal/



He works at Microsoft[1]. I have been following his predictions on PredictWise.com for the last four months.

[1] http://www.linkedin.com/pub/david-rothschild/12/651/681


Just to clarify, he recently moved from Yahoo Research to Microsoft Research when the former imploded. Same with David Pennock and others. The Yahoo folks in New York mostly switched to MSR (founding MSR-NYC) and the folks in California mostly switched to Google.

(I used to be part of that research group but I left at the end of 2010 to start Beeminder.)




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