Spammers who just blast stuff out won't do it, I'm sure.
But as a counterpoint it literally happened to me to me years ago when I used to use name+<service>@exmaple.com. I got cold emails to 'name+paypal' despite never, ever having used that localpart. I've no doubt it was absolutely targetted and not a hit-and-hope spamblast but it was enough of a wake-up call for me to realise it couldn't really be relied on.
But as a counterpoint it literally happened to me to me years ago when I used to use name+<service>@exmaple.com. I got cold emails to 'name+paypal' despite never, ever having used that localpart. I've no doubt it was absolutely targetted and not a hit-and-hope spamblast but it was enough of a wake-up call for me to realise it couldn't really be relied on.