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Higgs Boson discovery before 2014 trades at less than 40% on Intrade (intrade.com)
4 points by jessriedel on Sept 14, 2010 | hide | past | favorite | 1 comment


The volume on Intrade for many of these niche futures is very low, which may make the payoff for correcting poor market prices too low to motivate knowledgeable physicists. But I think some more publicity for Intrade and prediction markets in general would be a great thing.

Full disclosure: I have several unfilled positions on the Higgs and Supersymmetry.




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